A few brave Swedish physicians have started a petition demanding proper classification of Covid deaths in 2021 by vaccination status. It’s the usual Bayesian datacrime: count deaths among the partially vaccinated and deaths occurring shortly after vaccination as unvaccinated deaths. Here’s the data:
At first glance, we might think that even after counting the < 21 days deaths and the partially vaccinated deaths as vaccinated deaths, things might not look so bad for the vaccines (only 1598 of 4493). However, we have to consider the evolving vaccination rates in the population, which have been approximately the following (higher precision is of no use here; the numbers roughly provide mid-month values):
Now we apply these rates to the total numbers of deaths from the first table:
If the vaccines were placebos, we would expect to see more unvaccinated and less vaccinated deaths, particularly among the not fully vaccinated. Yes, of course there is the issue of the vaccinee distribution being skewed towards the vulnerable, but nevertheless:
Moose test failed.