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I am still digesting your work...

Are you on Twitter? Take a look at this: Excess Mortality in EU countries plotted against Vaccine Doses over time https://twitter.com/_shloka/status/1620888062812364806?s=20&t=6Ubc4UyU795RJV075ChQrQ

The inflection point was April 2022!

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Feb 1, 2023·edited Feb 1, 2023Liked by cm27874

Thank you! :)

They opened schools in late 2021.

When a student got a positive test, this was forwarded to the federal state's public health department. They forward the results to the RKI (once per day I think).

Now, this result has to be confirmed with a PCR test, but here comes the kicker:

Meldepflicht only applies to positive results, so if the PCR test came back negative, this did not need to be reported. :D

But it gets better. If the test came back negative and the school decided to still report it, there was a deadline. I think it was Friday of the same week, 5 pm, but I am not sure.

You can imagine what this means for false positive antigen test results on Thursdays and Fridays.

EDIT: I haven't quite understood what you did with the DIVI data, but the result is intriguing.

I think the higher frequency of waves is due to the approval of Monupiravir. I am going to dedicate an article to that, but I have a couple of more that need attention before that.

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I'm reading through the Kuhbandner paper after reading Josh Guetznow's new post. Looking forward to hearing your thoughts and how it compares with your own approach to excess death estimates.

Also, I tried to send you a mail to see if you might be interested in chatting together to compare notes and share ideas also with Fabian.

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