The first half of 2022 is over, and like your uncle with his soporific holiday slide shows (always same place, only details change) I will present updates to Covid-related figures from Germany.
Let’s start with all-cause deaths. For a better view, we do not look at calendar years but at periods from July to June. We take monthly deaths, and divide by the number of days, to get daily averages per month. The span is from minimum to maximum over the period from 2016 to 2019 for July to December, and over the period from 2017 to 2020 for January to June.
The second half of 2020 was bad, and the second half of 2021 was only slightly worse due to the wonderful “vaccines”. Before that, second halves had been unspectacular and quite reliable, maybe apart from heat-related deaths in July and August. The first half of 2022 does not look that bad, but the total number of deaths actually is the highest observed ever in the first half of a year.
Is this due to the ageing population? Maybe. Here’s updated mortality rates for the 0-70 age group, both unadjusted, and adjusted for official “Covid deaths”:
Is it helpful to look at those official “Covid deaths”? Not very much so. The baseline due to three-week case rates explains almost all of them. There might be an effect of late counting of deaths, but on the other hand official case rates haven’t got much to do with actual virus activity (based on anecdotal evidence, I am willing to bet money on underreporting by a factor of at least two).
Same with ICU occupancy:
No, woman, no cry! It’s still the men carrying the burden of death:
But fortunately, the high death figures are balanced by low birth figures. Eh… wait.